While the US takes the day off after another near-record low volume surge to a new all time high in the S&P500, a level which is now just 125 points away from Goldman’s year end target for 2016, the rest of the world will be patiently awaiting to see if oil’s next move, as a…
This Burtless Brookings Blog post really is a must read. Burtless notes that taxes and transfers (including both ARRA and automatic responses to the recession) prevented huge income declines for the lower 60% of US households during the great recession. In contrast high income households were hammered. Federal policy actually worked. The post is a guided tour…
Uber Technologies Inc. investors are betting the five-year-old car-booking app is more valuable than Twitter Inc. and Hertz Global Holdings Inc. The startup is close to raising a round of financing that would value it between $35 billion and $40 billion, according to people familiar with the situation, who asked not to be identified because the…
Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) is in the midst of legal proceedings against Mike Kail, its former vice president of information technology operations, accusing him of fraud, breaching his fiduciary, and a host of other charges. Kail was responsible for buying computer accessories, as well as other services from outside companies. It is alleged that during his…
Photocredit: Shutterstock The secret is out that startup investing is binary, with the majority of VC industry returns concentrated on a few winners. And while Angel investors have addressed this power law via diversification, top tier US VCs have been more proactive, trying to predict breakout successes early and betting big. In other words, if we knew…
Our December 2014 Economic Forecast continues to show a stable and growing economy – with a modestly better growth than last month. All portions of the economy outside our economic model – except housing – are showing expansion. There are few warning signs the economy is faltering, and few indications the economy is about to…
The painting “Desembarco de los Puritanos en America,” or “The Arrival of the Pilgrims in America,” by Antonio Gisbert shows Puritans landing in America in 1620. By Antonio Gisbert (1834-1902) [Public domain], via Wikimedia Commons Summary The first winter took many of the English at Plymouth. By fall 1621, only 53 remained of the 132 who…
The surge in Chinese equity trading that coincided with market peaks in 2009 and 2010 has returned as the Shanghai Composite Index jumped to a three-year high. The 30-day average daily value of shares changing hands on the Shanghai exchange exceeded 200 billion yuan ($32.6 billion) for the first time in four years on Nov….
Four firms have been named in a lawsuit that was filed in the most corrupt court in the nation – the Southern District of New York where judges are free to change the very words spoken in court. I have constantly warned not to file suits there – they seem to go nowhere and are…
Fiscal policy describes how the expenditure and revenue decisions of local, state, or federal governments influence economic growth. In this article, we create a comprehensive measure of fiscal policy called fiscal impetus, which estimates the combined effect of purchases, taxes, and transfers across all levels of government on growth. Our goal is to use this…
