Monthly Archives: November 2014

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The United States Energy Information Administration released its latest report on the status of oil inventories in the United States on November 26, 2014.  This is the report for the week of November 21. The report shows much the same as has been occurring over the past several weeks.  While both commercial oil inventories and…

Black Friday: Boon Or Bust?

Black Friday is upon us. Nowadays, it often starts Thursday (which happens to be Thanksgiving Day), and then is followed by Cyber Monday — although the lines and times are increasingly blurred. Here’s what a selection of reputable economists and analysts think you should look for, or can expect, from the explosion of rabid capitalism…

Inflation Makes Turkeys Out Of Us All

Central bankers always seem worried about deflation. The cost of Thanksgiving dinner is about the same as last year. Is it a bad thing that your costs didn’t go up? If we hadn’t experienced Federal Reserve created inflation over the last 18 years the cost of your Thanksgiving dinner would be about $21. But thank…

The SPY-TLT Universal Investment Strategy (UIS)

Introduction This paper discusses the simple but effective method of using adaptive allocations between stock market ETFs and Treasuries. This method has been developed to replace the 100% switching used in normal rotation strategies like the Maximum Yield Rotation and the Global Market Rotation strategies. The real world is just not a 100% “risk on”…