Monthly Archives: December 2014

The Financialized-Oil Dominoes Are Toppling

The drop in oil revenues has triggered a self-reinforcing feedback dynamic. Oil is not just something that is refined into fuel–it is capital, collateral, debt and risk. In other words, it is intrinsically financial. As I noted in The Oil-Drenched Black Swan, Part 2: The Financialization of Oil, oil has been financialized to the point that few outside…

Asian Equities Higher On US Lead

Asian stocks advanced, following U.S. stocks higher on better-than-estimated retail sales in the world’s biggest economy. Oil in New York extended declines below $60 a barrel. The MSCI Asia Pacific Index increased 0.7 percent by 1:51 p.m. in Tokyo, paring the biggest weekly decline since Oct. 17 as Japanese shares gained before elections this weekend….

T2108 Update – An Unusual Surge In Volatility As Sellers Score An...

T2108 Status: 44.6%T2107 Status: 45.2%VIX Status: 18.5 (8.4% increase after jumping 24.5% the day before)General (Short-term) Trading Call: Hold. Caveats listed below.Active T2108 periods: Day #38 over 20%, Day #36 over 30%, Day #33 over 40%, Day #2 under 50% (underperiod), Day #6 under 60%, Day #108 under 70% Reference Charts (click for view of last…

Symmetric Application Of Dynamic Scoring

Republicans are keen to sacrifice CBO’s role as impartial arbiter of fiscal measures on the altar of “dynamic scoring” of tax measures.[0] But there is no economic reason for restricting this approach to only tax measures.   First, on tax measures, from Jane Gravelle in a Congressional Research Service review of the policy literature: Economists were attracted to…

YTD Review Part 1-FBT Up 49%

Part 1 Biopharmaceutical Stocks-New Highs Were Hit on December 10 Five Straight Years of Gains in Biotech-the IBB is up 292% since Dec 18, 2009 Biotech stocks are following the long term seasonal bullish trend surging in Q4 and up about 49 % YTD. The easiest way to invest in the biotech market is with…