Monthly Archives: December 2014

Canada’s Economy On A Knife Edge

by John West Discussions led by business leaders at the recent Toronto Global Forum suggest that Canada’s economy is sitting on a knife edge.   Prospects for the world economy are gloomy and fragile, something Canada cannot insulate itself from. Europe’s economy is on the verge of falling back into recession. Growth is slowing in…

World In A Box

Of all the problems with fiat currency, the most basic is that it empowers the dark side of human nature. We’re potentially good but infinitely corruptible, and giving an unlimited monetary printing press to a government or group of banks is guaranteed to produce a dystopia of ever-greater debt and more centralized control, until the…

The Fed’s Policy Trajectory Is Tied To Global Recovery

The latest U.S. payrolls report presents a challenge for the Fed. As discussed back in April (see post), U.S. labor markets are continuing to heal, suggesting that the rate “normalization” should be a serious consideration for the central bank. However the recent deterioration in commodities, especially energy, is “importing” global disinflation to the U.S. (see…

New Estimates Of The Effects Of The Minimum Wage

A large literature has examined the effects on employment of raising the minimum wage, with different researchers arriving at conflicting conclusions. The core reason that economists can’t answer questions like this better is that we usually can’t run controlled experiments. There is always some reason that the legislators chose to raise the minimum wage, often…

Something Doesn’t Compute: Inside The BLS Jobs Data

Guest Post by Jeffrey P. Snider via ContraCorner The juxtaposition could not be more fitting with all that is transpiring at this moment in economic history. On Monday, the headlines were filled with, Black Friday Fizzles as Sales Tumble 11% and ‘Black Friday’ Fades as Weekend Retail Sinks 11%. Then the “employment” report comes out and now the headlines…