Monthly Archives: December 2014

Chinese Stocks, Metals Up

Chinese stocks rose and the yen headed for a second weekly decline against the dollar on speculation governments will step up stimulus to bolster their economies. Precious metals advanced with oil. The Shanghai Composite Index jumped 1.2 percent to 3,110.77 at 12:41 p.m. in Tokyo, after surging the most in three weeks yesterday. Standard & Poor’s…

EC Pettis On S

In his last email of the Year Michael Pettis takes stock of the current state of China’s rebalancing. It’s an 18 page PDF, with no online link. Taking Stock of China’s Transition by Michael Pettis   Special points to highlight in this issue:   While policymakers almost certainly understand that the interest rate cuts announced by…

EUR/USD Failed To Hang Onto Gains

The EUR/USD pair rose during the course of the day on Wednesday, but as you can see struggled above the 1.22 handle, and ended up falling to form a shooting star. The shooting star of course suggests that the sellers are going to come back in and push this market lower. The Euro has been struggling for…

We Just Enjoyed The Last Christmas In America

The end of rising wages = the end of mass affluence: we just enjoyed the Last Christmas in America (TLCIA). As unemployment topped 10%, the January 1975 cover of Ramparts magazine blared: The End of Affluence: The Last Christmas in America. (TLCIA) The government responded to the high unemployment, rampant inflation and rising budget deficits by manipulating data to…

Mitch McConnell Wages War Against The EPA

In January, Democratic Senator Harry Reid will retire from being the Majority Leader – with Republican Mitch McConnell as his replacement. McConnell is a consummate Washington insider. After graduating from the University of Louisville in 1964, he traveled to Washington, D.C. to become an intern for Senator John Sherman Cooper. Later, he worked for both…

SF Fed Warns US Equity Valuations Will Be Cut In Half In Next Dec

When “the retirement of the baby boomers is expected to severely cut U.S. stock values in the near future,” is the ominous initial sentence from no lesser maintainer-of-the-status-quo than the San Francisco Fed’s research department, one begins to recognize the Federal Reserve’s overall need to hyper-inflate asset prices at whatever cost for fear of the ‘wealth’ destruction looming….

The Ups & Downs Of Economic Estimates

Common practice in major economies around the world is to publish quarterly estimates of economic output, as the nation’s Gross Domestic Product (GDP). These figures are given as a relative measure showing the percentage by which the economy has grown or contracted in comparison to the previous quarter. Frequently, growth is estimated for the full year, to…