Monthly Archives: July 2015

The US Stock Market And A Major Recession Warning

No Trend Uniformity As John Hussman points out in his most recent weekly missive, the stock market currently reflects all the characteristics observed near previous major market peaks. Apart from the more obvious ones, such as overvaluation and lopsidedly bullish sentiment which have been with us for some time, the market’s internals continue to deteriorate. This…

Dow Industrials Catching Down To Transports

Yesterday the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) broke below its early July low. At the same time the Dow Jones Transportation Average (DJTA) held above its early July low. Since the top in the transports last December they have led the industrials lower. Yesterday broke that trend. It now appears that DJIA is catching down…

BP Swings To Loss

BP p.l.c. (BP) is the holding company of one of the world’s largest petroleum and petrochemicals groups. Their main activities are exploration and production of crude oil and natural gas; refining, marketing, supply and transportation; and manufacturing and marketing of petrochemicals. They have a growing activity in gas and power and in solar power generation….

China 50 Vs. SPX

I had imagined a situation in the China 25 (now 50) vs. the S&P 500 that called for China to either rise more than the US or decline less. It was based on this weekly chart and its moving average ‘up’ signal which, while still in effect has turned out to be a load of…

Chemical Activity Signaling “Potentially Accelerating Business Ac...

The American Chemistry Council’s updated Chemical Activity Barometer continues its uptrend. From the report is and extract below: “The Chemical Activity Barometer is a leading economic indicator derived from a composite index of chemical industry activity. The chemical industry has been found to consistently lead the U.S. economy’s business cycle given its early position in…