Monthly Archives: August 2015

Gold Soars After Chinese Currency Devaluation

Yesterday, immediately in the aftermath of the PBOC’s dramatic devaluation announcement, we remarked the following: Been a while since tens of millions of Chinese rushed into gold and bitcoin — zerohedge (@zerohedge) August 11, 2015 To be sure, while it will take the Chinese mainland a few more hours to realize just what happened, and…

Euro Gets A Boost From PBOC Move

In the wake of the surprise move from the People’s Bank of China (PBOC), higher-risk currencies such as the Euro received an unexpected boost. Analysts say that investors could see the PBOC move as the trigger for a currency war which could benefit Gold in the short term. As a commodity, Gold tends to gain…

EC A “St

No-One is Paying Attention – Yet Almost exactly one year ago, we penned several articles on what we believed to be a dangerous bubble in corporate debt. The boom in both prices and bond issuance was primarily driven by the desperate “hunt for yield” of investors starved of interest-income by the inane ZIRP and NIRP…

Why Global Equity Fund Managers Will Be Watching Alibaba’s

Tomorrow, August 12, Alibaba (BABA), one of China’s premier internet companies will report its quarterly earnings.  They will command more attention than one might suspect by global fund managers.    After learning that MSCI refused to include China’s mainland A-shares into its global indices in June, many observers thought the issue was over. Yes, there was a…

Why Bond Yields Are Tumbling: Thank China

The entire US Treasury complex has seen yields plunge following last night’s “surprise-that-everyone-except-Wall-Street-economists-saw-coming” Yuan devaluation. While there are numerous factors driving the rally in bonds, RanSquawk notes two crucial ones… that will likely persist…   Via RanSquawk, T-Notes trade higher by around 15 ticks due to the following reasons: Firstly, the PBoC has acted to weaken…

Labor Market Data Still Points To Low Recession Risk For US

The Federal Reserve’s Labor Market Conditions Index (LMCI) eased slightly in July, ticking down to 1.1 from 1.4 in the previous month. The slightly positive value equates with a labor market that’s expanding, but at a sluggish rate. Yet translating LMCI’s historical record into recession risk estimates via a probit modelstill indicates that the broad macro trend remains…