Monthly Archives: August 2015

Just Another Merger Monday

Berkshire Hathaway is buying Precision Castparts (PCP)!   That is kind of encouraging as it’s a big ($37.2Bn) bet on manufacturing but PCP manufactures aerospace parts and that is one of our only working sectors and PCP, as you can see from this chart, is 70% aerospace. BUT $32Bn is only  a 20% premium to Friday’s close with…

Bear Of The Day: SodaStream

Back in April, I highlighted SodaStream (SODA – Snapshot Report) as a ‘bear of the day’ candidate due to its sluggish earnings estimates and low growth outlook. And though the stock had a brief surge in the early summer, shares are now down double digits since that time and are easily underperforming the market too. The pain…

Peak Oil? Peak Stocks?

Are Stocks the Next Oil (or Uranium, Copper, Silver)? See:  2007, when everyone was convinced of ‘Peak Oil’ and there were websites named ‘Peak Oil’, ‘Oil Drum’, etc. constantly reinforcing the mania. I remember being away on business one day in 2007, with nothing better to do in my hotel room than watch the congressional…

3 Advantages To Trading Precious Metals

Precious metals may diversify investment portfolios In a highly volatile global market, precious metals such as gold, silver and platinum may continue to provide investors with a number of advantages. Although the market for precious metals has weakened in recent years, prices have generally appreciated over time, driven largely by investor and consumer demand. Below…

The Secular Advisor – August 10, 2015

Economy – Additions & Updates Additions – spending, factory orders Updates – jobs, housing, sentiment, GDP  Asset Allocation – Additions & Updates Additions – none Updates – none Economic Summary: Jobs – payrolls: small increase, layoffs: large increase Housing – vacancy rates: low (yet not historically lows)   Sentiment – falling Spending – falling  Factory Orders – falling / recessionary Q3 GDPNow Forecast – 1.0%…

Negative Momentum Weighs On Major Asset Classes

Positive price momentum is in short supply these days among the major asset classes. Is that a bearish signal? Well, let’s put it this way: the current technical profile doesn’t inspire a lot of confidence about the near-term outlook for asset prices. Granted, there are still pockets of strength. In particular, US stocks overall continue to post…