Monthly Archives: August 2015

Allergan PLC Edges Out Earnings Estimates

Allergan released its latest earnings report before opening bell this morning, posting non-GAAP earnings of $4.41 per share, a 29% increase year over year, on $5.76 billion in revenue, a 116%. Analysts had been expecting earnings of $4.40 per share and revenue of $5.71 billion. Allergan swings to net loss Allergan reported a GAAP loss…

E

After BlackBerry (BBRY) reported quarterly results, speculators held the upper hand. Still, they will get tired and will lose the long (duration) game on one condition: future FCF growth. The company’s FCF generation is as good as may be expected. Bears latched on to CEO John Chen’s apparent stumble, not realizing the company is bound…

August 1, 2015 Initial Unemployment Claims Rolling Average Again

Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims The market was expecting the weekly initial unemployment claims at 250,000 to 275,000 (consensus 273,000) vs the 270,000 reported. The more important (because of the volatility in the weekly reported claims and seasonality errors in adjusting the data) 4 week moving average moved from 274,750 (reported last week as 274,750) to…

The Next Two Months

The next two months going into September will be both interesting and critical. The Nasdaq Composite (QQQ) made new highs in July, but the S&P500 (SPY) and the Dow Jones Industrials (DIA) failed to exceed May highs. The general consensus is that there will be a rate hike in September and another in December, so if…

Diverging US Employment Trends: Services Vs. Manufacturing

Yesterday’s ADP estimate on US private payrolls in July was a bit of a disappointment. Companies added 185,000 workers last month—the smallest gain in three months. The news implies that tomorrow’s official jobs report from Washington for July will also reflect softer growth. Is the weaker-than-expected increase a sign that the labor market’s cooling? Maybe, although the…