Monthly Archives: October 2015

China’s Forex Reserves Drop Most On Record: What Does It Me

Bloomberg reports China’s Foreign Reserves Post Record Quarterly Drop on Yuan.   China’s foreign-exchange reserves fell by a record in the third quarter as the central bank sold dollars to support the yuan after a surprise Aug. 11 devaluation sparked the currency’s steepest slide in two decades. The stockpile plunged by $180 billion in the three months…

Oil Prices Rebound

Oil prices seem to be edging up slowly. Despite the sudden increase in U.S. stockpiles, crude oil futures rose in early Asian trade on Thursday with additional trading from Chinese traders following a week long National Day holiday period. U.S. refineries reduced production last week resulting in an increase of 3.1 million barrels of crude…

Understanding Your Candlesticks

Understanding your Candlesticks Introduction Candlestick charts can be traced back to technical analysis used by the Japanese. Candlestick charting began to appear sometime in the late 1800’s in a form that is somewhat similar to what is currently used today. A Candlestick bar is derived from price points that contain an open, high, low and…

Close Calls

Podcast: Play in new window | Play in new window (Duration: 13:16 — 6.1MB) DOW + 122 = 16,912 SPX + 15 = 1995 NAS + 42 = 4791 10 YR YLD + .03 = 2.06% OIL – .47 = 48.06 GOLD – 1.80 = 1146.80 SILV + .17 = 16.15 The S&P 500 closed at its highest level…

Trend Trade Idea Into End Of 2015

This stock is rising from the depths of 5 year lows, a good base, strength coming in, folks are changing their minds on this stock. Previous post on similar subject Gold and silver stocks near the end of their crash This stock just made a 2 year high. Higher highs are in its future! Investing Quote……

Emerging Market Currencies Anxiously Await Fed Decisions In 2015

Written by Brett Chatz, Intertrader Emerging market currencies are feeling increasing pressure ahead of the upcoming two Fed meetings. An interest-rate hike would most certainly send EM currencies to their nadir. EM Stocks Rally but EM Currencies Dip The fate of emerging market economies is uncertain at best and dismal at worst. Emerging markets have a proclivity…

Global PEs And Price-To-Book Valuations; Bubble Debate Revisited

In JP Morgan’s Quarterly Market Guide a pair of charts on page 31 caught my eye.  Forward PE Estimates I don’t have any faith in forward PE estimates. They tend to be overly optimist and subject to numerous “one-time” writeoffs. Instead, I recommend watching 10-year smoothed PE ratios. See discussion below. Nonetheless, please note that even on…