Markets have become extremely volatile lately as investors await news from the Fed regarding an interest rate decision. This has led to big market sell-offs and it has forced investors to reconsider safe haven securities once more. One such stock that has come back into focus thanks to this shift is Campbell Soup (CPB – Analyst Report). After…
We are approaching the most anticipated and crucial week of the past seven years, and the global markets have been selling off. Last week, saw crude oil, junk bonds and the stock market competing with one another, while on their way down. Is there a connection between the three, or is it just a co-incidence…
Grant Williams returns this week to set the context for this week’s FOMC meeting, where the Federal Reserve is widely expected to hike interest rates for the first time in nearly a decade. To say he is very skeptical of the Fed’s ability to continue to control market forces much longer is a gross understatement: None…
The Framework of the Fed… My more recent commentary mentioned how difficult it was to find a scapegoat for the market’s persistent decline. The drop in Crude Oil prices has been the financial media’s whipping boy lately, so when oil futures reversed their downward slide, the stock market responded in like manner, albeit synapse delayed…
Eurozone – United States 2-yr benchmark Spread (black line) vs. EUR/USD (blue line) 15 December 2015/8:44 a.m. ET Moving against the EU today….
The focus of most investors is the rate decision by the Federal Reserve tomorrow. Since the central bank completed its asset purchase program at the end of last year, a rate hike has been understood as a matter of time. Expectations for a June lift-off were dashed by the disappointing economic activity at the…
Written by Eurekahedge Key highlights for November 2015: Hedge funds are up 2.45% for the year, with the total AUM growing by US$110.7 billion in 2015. US$71.2 billion of the gain in assets are attributed to investor inflows and US$39.6 billion to performance-driven gains. This compares with an AUM growth of US$121 billion in 2014 where…
The U.S. Federal Reserve is set to gather today (Tuesday) and tomorrow (Dec. 15-16), and members will decide if they’ll raise interest rates for the first time in nearly a decade. The dovish vs. hawkish Federal Reserve argument has been discussed all year, but many investors don’t know what the two terms mean and how they affect…
The search for objective analysis in the cause of making informed investment decisions is the Holy Grail of finance. Unfortunately, narrative risk continually threatens to derail us on our crucial quest for perspective. Everyone loves a good story, and it’s no different when it comes to finance and economics. The problem: there’s an excess of…
While Empire Fed Manufacturing survey modestly beat expectations (-4.6 vs -7 exp), it has been in contraction for 5 straght months. The biggest driver of the ‘beat’ was a massive surge in ‘hope’ (six month outlook surged from 20 to 38.5 – its biggest percentage gain since Nov 2011). At the same time as hope soars, employment…
