Forecasts For The Weeks Of December 14 And 21
Here are my forecasts for upcoming economic data.
Monthly Archives: December 2015
Emerging Market Vulnerability – The Most Likely For Disrupt
The build-up in credit or leverage in many Emerging Market economies has been an important focus for EM investors given historical episodes of credit crunches and subsequent growth slowdowns. While broadly speaking, EM stocks began to drastically underperform DM stocks at the start of QE3… Goldman summarizes in a heat map, the EM nations with greatest potential for…
The Fed’s Hike This Week Is Unlikely To Help The US Dollar
Fundamental Forecast for USDOLLAR: Bearish – December rate hike practically a lock since the November NFP release. – Recent economic data points to a “dovish liftoff’ – a reduced expected future rates path. – Historical precedence around rate hike cycles beginning is messy at best. This week is when the rubber meets the road after months – years,…
Looking Ahead Of Wall Street: Arrowhead Research Corp, Oracle Cor
Holiday shopping and festivities are in full swing, but several companies are slated to report earnings this week ahead of the holidays. Here’s what to watch for in reports from Arrowhead Research Corp (NASDAQ: ARWR), Oracle Corporation (NYSE: ORCL), and BlackBerry Ltd (NASDAQ: BBRY): Arrowhead Research Corp is set to release its Q4 2015 earnings on Monday, December 14 after market close. For…
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There is a noticeable difference in market and economic outlooks between those on the front lines of the fixed income markets and those sitting back at HQ in wealth management. I have observed this even within the same firm. Readers know that I am a fan of Morgan Stanley economist, Ellen Zentner. Ms. Zentner’s outlook…
EURGBP Eyes Corrective Pullback Towards Its Key Support At 0.7163
EURGBP- With the cross capping its gains to close marginally higher the past week, EURGBP looks to correct lower towards its key support at 0.7163 level. Support comes in at 0.7170 level. Further down, support lies at the 0.7140 level where a violation will turn focus to the 0.7100 level. A break will expose the…
What Silver Rocket? Report 13 Dec, 2015
“That [half a dollar of buying] frenzy was not stackers lining up to buy phyz. It was speculators buying paper. Why does that matter? Speculators, who typically use leverage, can’t hold the market price against the tide of the hoarders. They can push for a while, but they have to close their positions sooner or…
December 14th To 18th: A Week Of Reckoning For Global Stocks If T
Are we about to witness widespread panic in the global financial marketplace? This week is shaping up to be an absolutely critical week for global stocks. Coming into December, more than half of the 93 largest stock market indexes in the world, and last week stocks really started to slide all over the world. Here…
Is Oil Close To A Tradable Bottom?
By all accounts, the world is awash with oil: production remains high while demand is softening along with the global economy. This has led many observers to forecast further declines in oil from the current price (in USD) of around $35/barrel. This Is Why $20 Oil Is A Possibility (Zero Hedge) IEA Offers No Hope For An…
Forex Forecast: Pairs In Focus – December 13, 2015
The difference between success and failure in Forex trading is very likely to depend upon which currency pairs you choose to trade each week, and not on the exact trading methods you might use to determine trade entries and exits. Each week I am going to analyze fundamentals, sentiment and technical positions in order to…