Monthly Archives: December 2015

Retail Sales And Winter: Economic Or Seasonal

Given that Black Friday weekend, including Thanksgiving itself, was uninspiring, the fact that the Commerce Department’s estimates for retail sales for all of November were again among the worst shows that Black Friday actually remains a pivotal part of the holiday setup. The trend has been to dismiss the traditional Christmas buying season kickoff as if…

International Evidence For The Acquirer’s Multiple Investment Str...

A new paper from Christian Walkshäusl and Sebastian Lobe* called The Enterprise Multiple Investment Strategy: International Evidence, examines the performance of the enterprise multiple (EV/EBITDA) in international markets, including Australia, Canada, France, Germany, Hong Kong, Japan, Singapore, Sweden, Switzerland and the UK. The paper, published in the Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, confirms the U.S. evidence that cheap enterprise multiple stock outperform expensive enterprise…

Time Is On Your Side, Yes It Is

If you’ve ever traded options, you’re likely aware of the “Greeks.” Delta, which compares the change in price of an underlying asset with the corresponding change in the price of a derivative, and vega, which measures an option’s sensitivity to changes in the volatility of the underlying asset, are the most popular. But theta is another…

Retail Sales Soft Again (Unless You Exclude Everything Weak); How

Retail sales disappointed once again today. And for the second month in a row, autos led the decline. Last month retail sales rose 0.1%. This month retail sales rose 0.2% vs. a Bloomberg Consensus Estimate of a 0.3% rise. Nonetheless, Bloomberg analysts cite hidden strength. Hidden Strength?   Once again the headline for the retail sales report understates…

Dividend Aristocrats Part 32: Leggett & Platt

Leggett & Platt (LEG) was founded in 1883.  Here’s some other notable eventsform 1883: Time zones were created Krakatoa volcano erupted Buffalo Bill created his Buffalo Bill Wild West Show Much has changed in the world since 1883, but Leggett & Platt is still around.  The company has a market cap of nearly $6 billion today….

Retail Sales: November Retail Sales Show A Modest Improvement

The Census Bureau’s Advance Retail Sales Report released this morning shows that seasonally adjusted sales in November increased 0.2% month-over-month and are up 1.4% year-over-year. Core Retail Sales (ex Autos) came in at 0.4% MoM and are up only 0.7% YoY. The Investing.com forecasts were 0.3% for both Headline and Core Sales. The chart below is a log-scale snapshot…