Monthly Archives: February 2016

Kyle Bass Is Dead Wrong About Chinese Banks Says Chinese Bank

China is upset with “speculators.” You see it’s not that China’s economy is “landing hard” and it’s not that a massive yuan devaluation is almost a foregone conclusion. No, it’s that “manipulators,” “speculators,” financial “predators,” and all sorts of other nefarious foreign meddlers are colluding to destabilize the country’s economy and financial markets for personal…

What’s Ahead For SunEdison This Earnings Season?

SunEdison, Inc. (SUNE – Analyst Report) is expected to report fourth-quarter 2015 results on Feb 17. Notably, the company posted wider-than-expected loss in the last quarter. Let us see how things are shaping up for this announcement. Factors to Consider In an effort to strengthen its position as a renewable energy developer, SunEdison has been on an acquisition…

What Have We Not Learned Since 2008?

Paul Krugman has a post up highlighting some of the lessons we’ve learned since 2008. He’s using a Liquidity Trap model, which, regular readers know I’ve been very critical of (see here and here for some exciting reading on this).* But I wanted to highlight a different point – what have we NOT learned since 2008 which is still holding us…

Peddling More “Recession” Fiction

We are sure this is nothing to be worried about – and is likely just “transitory” – but just in case, here is some more recession-fiction to peddle… Yet another weekly cut in forward earnings estimates for US equities…   Source: @Not_Jim_Cramer But it can’t be a recession, right? Think of all those bartender and waitress jobs…

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We start with some observations on the latest developments in the global credit and rate markets (from Merrill Lynch, Citi, CS, Morgan Stanley and others). Bank Credit 1. Bank CDS spreads are catching up with bank bond spreads which have been widening since last summer. This feels overdone – the US banking system is the healthiest…

Beware Of 3 Types Of Investment Risk

“Is it risky?” is one of the first questions you should ask about a new investment. Everyone wants investments with low risk and high returns, but it’s not always realistic. And most importantly, we all have a different feeling about risk. A great way to test whether your level of risk is appropriate is whether…