Monthly Archives: February 2016

Close To Oversold

Twitter sentiment for the S&P 500 Index (SPX) isn’t quite oversold yet. It’s getting close though. It appears to me that we need one more dip in price that carries 7 day momentum below -20 before we get a good counter trend bounce. You can view an interactive daily chart here. Scroll over the lines on…

Expedia Looks Strong Going Into Its Q4 Earnings: Here’s What To W...

Photo Credit: Viaggio Routard Expedia Inc. (EXPE) Consumer Discretionary – Internet & Catalog Retail| Reports February 10, After Market Closes Expedia (EXPE) is expected to close an impressive 2015 when it reports fourth quarter earnings February 10. Last year shares soared, finishing up 45% thanks to improved earnings, continued acquisitions and consolidation in the industry. This quarter,…

Market Awaits Signals From U.S. Fed

UK industrial production data from today has shown a December fall by 1.1% MoM after a 0.8% fall in November. The indicator is down 0.4% YoY, whilst it was expected to fall by 0.2% MoM and grow 1% YoY. The fall in industrial production was mostly provoked by a fall in production on part of…

E

A reader emailed me yesterday to tell me that while visiting his daughter at a college in North Carolina, he refilled his rental car with gas for $1.39 a gallon. So I got the idea that something really big is going on here that no one is yet seeing. I processed the possibilities in my…

Yelp Q4 Earnings Release Signals Deeper Issues Ahead

Shares of the world’s largest business review site Yelp (NYSE:YELP) were down sharply, falling by 10% in aftermarket trade after the company delivered a healthy Q4 2015 earnings beat but failed to impress on one key profitability metric: EBITDA. Yelp reported fourth quarter revenue of $153.7M, good for 39.9% Y/Y growth and $1.3M better than the consensus on Wall Street while…

Adrian Day On Gold

In his inaugural Gold Videocast for SchiffGold a few weeks ago, Albert K Lu interviewed Adrian Day, CEO of Adrian Day Asset Management. Day said he believes the gold market is “consolidating, bottoming, and turning around.” The last couple of weeks seem to confirm Day’s insight. Since hitting its low the day after the Federal…

Yellen And Fed In Total Denial

Steen Jakobsen, chief economist and CFO for Saxo bank pinged me this morning with the Bloomberg headline Yellen Signals Rate Path Hinges on Whether Turmoil Persists. Steen suggested the alternative headline “Yellen and Fed in Denial“. I added the word “total”. Key Ideas Yellen expects to raise interest rates Financial conditions less supportive of growth Uncertainty…