Monthly Archives: March 2016

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The best sectors across ADRs are utilities, services, and technology. The top countries are Canada, Taiwan, and So. Africa. The average ADR score is 48.33 and that’s above the four week and eight week average score of 49.73 and 45.83, respectively. The average ADR in our universe is trading -28.45% below its 52 week high,…

Bear Of The Day: Compass Minerals

Just like the weather changes with the seasons, so can your profits. Certain businesses are obviously more cyclical than others. While some cycles are based on economics others are based on weather. Today’s Bear of the Day is a company that should have had a wonderful winter season but instead struggled. Low snow fall meant low profits…

The Struggle For Brazil – And Against The Brics

While international media focuses on Brazil’s mass demonstrations against corruption, efforts behind the façade precipitate regime change, restoration of a pre-Lula order, and a struggle against the BRICS nations. The U.S. feels threatened by an era of multipolarity, which deeply implicates China, and other emerging economies. In August 2016, Rio de Janeiro should host South…

Consumer Spending Outlook Buckles With “Surprisingly Weak” Income...

Those trumping up the notion consumer spending would pick up in the first quarter were in for a surprise today. The BEA report on Personal Income and Outlays was anything but strong. Bloomberg Econoday found today’s report “surprising”. The Econoday economist’s consensus reading for February was 0.1%, with the actual report coming in better at 0.2%. The surprise was…

Bull Of The Day: Mistras Group

It’s been a volatile year already in the stock market. We’ve seen a move straight down from January 1st to the 20th, a whipsaw higher and retest of the lows in mid-February, followed by a rip your face off rally to 2,056. With all the back and forth action, it’s been hard to key in on…

February Pending Home Sales Surge By Most On Record Amid Midwest

With stock markets roller-coasting by the most on record, February pending home sales rose 3.5% MoM (seasonally-adjusted) dramatically beating expectations. In fact, sales spiked 29.5% MoM (non-seasonally-adjusted) – the best February spike ever. Price gains have slowed notably, which is being cheered by NAR’s Larry Yun, but notably the majority of the sales surge in Feb…

EC Worst Case:

Orthodox economic theory assigns recession to some exogenous “shock.” Without it, an economy is supposed to grow indefinitely along its trend or potential baseline so long as NAIRU (non-accelerating inflation rate of unemployment) is maintained. As you can imagine, economists and policymakers spend most of their time on that latter part which is one reason,…