Monthly Archives: March 2016

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No matter how well or how poorly a stock index is performing, there are always laggards and leaders. Traditional advice would encourage investors to concentrate on the winners and avoid the losers (of course, the losers could also be shorted). Contrarians, who think the Dow is going to become more bullish, might want to follow…

Metals Market Signaling Lower

While we were watching intently to see if the market was going to take advantage of a further bullish set up this past week, when it broke support, it made it clear that we have likely topped in wave i off the recent lows. However, I have to note that silver has a very uncertain…

Economic Events Of The Coming Week- 3/27/2016

  Monday: February Personal Income and Personal Spending data will see light in the U.S., for both of which analysts expect a small monthly increase. February’s Pending Home Sales will also see light in the U.S., as will the Dallas Fed Manufacturing Outlook. Tuesday: February Labor market data will see light in Japan, with analysts expecting the…

Four Keys To The Week Ahead

There are four events that will shape market psychology in the week ahead.  They are Yellen’s speech to the NY Economic Club, US jobs data, eurozone March CPI and PMI, and Japan’s Tankan Survey.   The broad backdrop is characterized by the rebuilding of risk appetites since the middle of February, though the MSCI emerging market equity…

China: Soft Landing Or Bust?

China’s stock market ‘bubble’ was fueled by “speculative mania” which has proven to have had grave implications of the global stock markets. The collapse of this “speculative mania” will have far reaching ramifications on our current global stock markets. This indicates that Central Bank interventions cannot alter market cycles.  Chinese exports have seen their sharpest…

US Equity And Economic Week In Review: There’s Not Much To

This week’s housing news was mixed. While new home sales increased 2% M/M, they declined 6.1% Y/Y. Existing home sales, however, dropped a whopping 7.1% M/M.  Bill McBride at Calculated Risk argues low inventory and pockets of regional weakness are to blame.  The New York Times added recent market volatility probably lowered sentiment, contributing to the weakness.This graph from the FRED system…