Monthly Archives: November 2017

Trucking Growth Improves In October 2017

Headline data for truck shipments show improved growth in October. Analyst Opinion of Truck Transport I tend to put heavier weight on the CASS index which showed slower growth year-over-year. The ATA data showed a similar trend but their overall trend line seems wrong. It should be pointed out that although the data seems to…

Inflation Target, Taylor Rule And Gold

The central banks’ inability to achieve their inflation targets led some analysts to argue for modifying these targets. Are they inappropriate in a modern, globalized economy? Should central banks change them? Or should they conduct a more rule-based policy, as John Taylor argues? How would such moves affect the gold market? As a reminder, the Fed (as…

Trickle Down Oil Economics

WTI Oil prices are pulling back as oil starts to trickle down the Keystone Pipeline. TransCanada Corp restarted the Keystone crude oil pipeline that leaked in South Dakota and caused a  drop in Cushing Oklahoma crude supply, is now running at reduced rates on Tuesday according to the company. The leak which caused WTI to…

An Indication Of Waning Momentum

I have likely mentioned a time or two that I believe I have earned, at the very least, an honorary degree from Wall Street’s school of hard knocks over the last 30 years. You see, I didn’t have a mentor to teach me the stock market game. No, I simply tried to learn as much…

Technically Speaking: Predicting The Future Is Difficult

Last week, as traders were all on vacation, the market surged to 2600 as the “inmates ran the asylum.” The expectation of a better than anticipated shopping holiday season and ongoing hopes of “tax cuts and reform” lifted stocks higher. The current advance, is still working the general year-end pattern I laid out three weeks ago as shown below. With…

UK Banks Pass Stress Tests

In what was a masterstroke of closing the stable doors after the horses have bolted, central banks around the world (notably in Europe and the USA) conducted an audit to see if the banks in their charge were placed to withstand another major financial jolt. It will be recalled that in the aftermath of the…