Monthly Archives: November 2017

Is The Pound Ready To Rise?

GBP/USD has closed the week on higher ground on high hopes. These hopes relate to the Brexit negotiations that should hopefully reach some results by the EU Summit in mid-November. Here are two opinions, by BTMU and Credit Agricole: Here is their view, courtesy of eFXnews: GBP/USD: Options Flows Points To A Scope For GBP…

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President Trump nominated Jerome H. Powell as the new Chairman of the Federal Reserve Bank. Don’t look for much to change. Where we are today is the culmination of decades of irresponsible financial/fiscal policies and a complete abdication of fundamental economics. But that should not be a surprise. The self-proclaimed purpose of the Federal Reserve…

As The Chinese Economic Cycle Turns, So Do The Fortunes Of The Au

In the past few weeks, economic data releases from China have fallen below expectations. Earlier this month, non-manufacturing and manufacturing surveys from the China Federation of Logistics and Purchasing came in below previous figures, suggesting a weaker outlook for future growth. Earlier this week, fixed asset investment, industrial production and retail sales (from the National…

Want Widespread Prosperity? Radically Lower Costs

It’s easy to go down the wormhole of complexity when it comes to figuring out why our economy is stagnating for the bottom 80% of households. But it’s actually not that complicated: the primary driver of stagnation, decline of small business start-ups, etc. is costs are skyrocketing to the point of unaffordability. As I have pointed out…

Trading Support And Resistance – Week Of Nov. 20

This week we’ll begin with our monthly and weekly forecasts of the currency pairs worth watching. The first part of our forecast is based upon our research of the past 16 years of Forex prices, which show that the following methodologies have all produced profitable results:·Trading the two currencies that are trending the most strongly over the…

Short Yen Becomes A Crowd Favorite

Looking at this week’s COT report, extremes include the Swiss franc, crude oil and a new bearish extreme in the Japanese yen. This is shown below: CFTC COT (futures & options combined) – November 14, 2017 Source: CTFC, MarketsNow Notable extremes are bolded, and are highlighted when speculator positioning is more than two standard deviations…

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‘Stealth’ de-risking of markets has dominated markets for months now in a rotation way. In a sense this has been healthy in holding markets up in this high-level trading range (generally, with Oils and others occasionally poking the indexes to new highs), while masking the gradual increased in sidelined monies, or rotation into ‘perceived’ less volatility…