Monthly Archives: December 2017

Investment Prospects For 2018

Predicting the future is a mug’s game, and in financial markets, we simply cannot know tomorrow’s prices. All we can do is make assessments of the factors that can be expected to influence them. Economists’ forecasts today, with very few exceptions, are a waste of time and downright misleading. In 2016, we saw this spectacularly…

Chicago PMI Rose In December

The Chicago Business Barometer, also known as the Chicago Purchasing Manager’s Index, is similar to the national ISM Manufacturing indicator but at a regional level and is seen by many as an indicator of the larger US economy. It is a composite diffusion indicator, made up of production, new orders, order backlogs, employment, and supplier…

Bullish Sentiment: Start Of A New Streak?

After a record run of weeks where bullish sentiment was below 50%, we have now seen two straight weeks where bullish sentiment has come in above 50%. According to the weekly sentiment survey from AAII, bullish sentiment came in at 52.65% this week, and although it only represented a slight increase from last week, it is…

Gold: This Might Hurt

The gold volatility index moved to a new all-time low and there was no meaningful action in gold recently. Well, we profited on the decline and on the following upswing, but the price action that we saw was nothing to call home about. For months, gold has been moving around the $1,300 level and it’s…