Monthly Archives: December 2017

Silver Market Update

For many weeks we have been waiting patiently, like vultures perched on the branches of trees, for the Large Specs to go belly up and croak, and the good news is that they just have, so it’s time for us to swoop down and feast on the carcasses, the carcasses being silver and the better…

When Holding Cash Beats Paying Debt

from the St Louis Fed For families who are struggling financially, there are times when it is better to keep some cash on hand, even if they hold high-interest debt. A recent In the Balance article highlights the importance of emergency savings to the financial stability of struggling households. It was authored by Emily Gallagher, a visiting…

‘Capitalist Suicide’: What’s Wrong With This Chart?

There is a strong argument to be made that central banks underestimated the efficiency of the transmission channel between accommodative policies and financial markets while simultaneously overestimating the efficiency of the transmission channel between those same financial markets and the real economy. That’s from a piece we did for DealBreaker a couple of months back…

USD/CAD Forecast Dec. 25-29 2017

Dollar/CAD traded lower as the Canadian dollar enjoyed mostly upbeat figures. Will this continue? There are no Canadian economic releases scheduled for the holiday week, but low liquidity could result in outsized movesHere are the highlights and an updated technical analysis for USD/CAD. Canadian inflation is finally picking up. The rise of headline CPI by 0.3%…

My Favorite Charts Of 2017

Last week I put the finishing touches on the 2017 End of Year Special Edition of the Weekly Macro Themes report – something which is fast becoming a tradition here! The report brought together the charts that worked (as well as those that didn’t!), some honorable mentions, the ones to watch in 2018, a few fun charts at the end, and…

EUR/USD Flash Crashes Amid Low Liquidity

‘Twas the morning of Xmas and all through the markets, not a human creature was stirring…but it appears the machines took major advantage of the low liquidity… Around 730amET, it seems the algos went on a deep stop hunt, flash-crashing EURUSD by four big figures, taking out the November 7th low stops – all the way back to…

Top Sector ETFs Of 2017

As we are approaching the end of 2017, it’s time to look back at the hot investing areas of 2017. This is especially true as this year has treated the broader market well. The S&P 500 has gained about 19%, the Nasdaq has crossed the 7000 mark and the Dow Jones hit several highs. However,…

GBP/CHF Q1 2018 Forecast

GBP/CHF The British pound has rallied against the Swiss franc for the last several months, but it looks as if we are running into serious trouble at the 1.35 handle above. It coincides with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level of the most recent move lower, but we have now filled a significant gap so I…