Monthly Archives: December 2017

Apple Is Doomed In 2018

Apple is doomed. And 2018 is the year where I believe you’ll start to see that this once-great American company has peaked and the Apple stock price is ready to decline. Truthfully, I’ve been wrong on Apple Inc. (Nasdaq: AAPL) stock for a year now. Driven by Warren Buffett’s huge buying spree — over $20 billion in shares —…

Valuations Pass The 1929 Bull Market Peak

Copper Bounces Off The Lows In a previous article, a couple weeks ago I discussed how copper’s decline didn’t mean you should get worried about the global economy. Sure enough, the price of copper, which you can see in the chart below, has rallied sharply back to where it started the selloff in October. Now…

The State Of The Trump Bubble

When all is said and done with the Trump Presidency I suspect we’ll remember the era as “The Trump Bubble”. As I outlined earlier this year and on election night last year, it just makes too much sense – big talking business man comes in and implements a bunch of business friendly policies all the while exaggerating the…

Chart Of The Day: Even The Bears Are Long…

How do you know when the euphoria has reached a fever pitch? Well, one indication might be when you poll active money managers, ask them to provide a number that represents their overall equity exposure, and the most bearish responses you get are still bullish. Every week, the NAAIM asks member firms to choose a number that indicates…

Bitcoin Trust Plunges As Arbitrage Spreads Collapse

Just a week after CME started Bitcoin futures trading (and 2 weeks after CBOE), a number of massive arbitrage premiums have finally started to collapse as shorts dip their toes in a risk-limited way… The first ‘arbitrage’ is the Bitcoin Futures-Spot spread which was well over $2000 in the first few days of Bitcoin Futures trading. As volumes have picked…

2018 Could Be The Year For Gold

We approach 2018 having seen the seeds planted in recent years for a monetary revolution. They include the massive world-wide expansion of credit and debt since the last credit crisis, and the advent of potentially disruptive cryptocurrencies. Geopolitical shifts of tectonic scale have occurred, hardly noticed by the ordinary person. That was until now. We…