Monthly Archives: December 2017

General Mills Q2 Earnings Meet Estimates, Sales Beat

General Mills, Inc. (GIS – Free Report) is a leading manufacturer and marketer of branded consumer foods sold through retail stores. The company’s core brands like Big G cereals, Betty Crocker and Hamburger Helper dinner mixes, Pillsbury refrigerated dough products, Progresso soups and Yoplait yogurt enjoy leading positions in attractive food categories. However, much like the rest of…

Hey! Tony Randall!

One of my favorite SNL sketches of all time is Mr. Short Term Memory (The Game Show). Hulu viewers can see it here, although, weirdly, sometimes it just plays for free. Anyway, the basis of the sketch is a contestant on a game show, Jeff, can only remember things for a few moments, so he completely botches…

Trucking Growth Improves In November 2017

Headline data for truck shipments show improved growth in November.  Analyst Opinion of Truck Transport I tend to put heavier weight on the CASS index which showed stronger growth year-over-year. The ATA data showed a similar trend but their overall trend line seems wrong. It should be pointed out that although the data seems to…

Trucking Growth Improves In November 2017

Headline data for truck shipments show improved growth in November.  Analyst Opinion of Truck Transport I tend to put heavier weight on the CASS index which showed stronger growth year-over-year. The ATA data showed a similar trend but their overall trend line seems wrong. It should be pointed out that although the data seems to…

Secular Trends In Residential Building Permits And Housing Starts

Yesterday we reported separately on the latest residential building permits and housing starts in the government’s monthly report, courtesy of the Census Bureau and the Department of Housing and Urban Development. Despite the fact that both are monthly SAAR series (seasonally adjusted annualized rate), they are exceptionally volatile and subject to extensive revisions. Thus it is unwise to assign…

U.S. Fixed Income: Nostradamus Has Nothing To Fear

For those readers who are not aware of Nostradamus, he is viewed as being one of history’s better prognosticators. Granted, he never had the difficult assignment of trying to forecast the direction of the U.S. Treasury (UST) 10-Year yield, but given the track record of projections over the last decade, it becomes readily apparent that Nostradamus…

We Need A Little Oil

Roll out the barrels; raise up production before supply falls again. Fill up the tankers, I may be rushing things, but supply is down again now. For we need a little oil, right this very minute, refiners have a window, no matter how bears spin it. And we also need distillate, right this very minute. …