Monthly Archives: April 2018

Strong Cash Saves Nat Gas Again

May natural gas prices recovered some of yesterday’s losses as strong cash prices early in the day pulled the May contract off its lows. Prices ended up settling up a bit less than a percent on the day.  The signature of a cash-led rally was clearly seen today with gains strongest at the front of…

Range Trading Continues

Tuesday saw some upside from Monday’s recovery but the trading ranges I marked on the charts over the weekend remain valid so no change in the status quo. The S&P shows this best with the trading range defined by the former ‘bull flag’. Today’s close left the index just below resistance. The lower close could…

Why You Should Care About The LIBOR Crisis

There is a financial crisis taking place overseas, which you probably don’t know, or care about. But you should care. The London Interbank Offered Rate (LIBOR) is a measure of the cost of short-term borrowing in Europe. It is essentially their version of our own Fed funds rate. And here’s the problem. It has been…

Is The IWM About To Surprise Us?

If you look at the last 3 days in the VXX (commonly referred to as the ‘fear gauge’) you see that the last 3 days have not shown an ounce of volatility. The VXX 3-day ATR is the lowest it’s been since the end of January (before it exploded higher).  Does that sound like what…

Don’t Trust This 12% Yield

Some companies have very erratic dividend payments. Not because management is incompetent or doesn’t care about the dividend, but because of the way the business is structured. Based on its last monthly distribution, San Juan Basin Royalty Trust (NYSE: SJT) pays a 12% yield. But that’s misleading because the distribution is variable. Hilcorp Energy Company owns natural…

Paying Dividends In Your Portfolio

When most investors and traders purchase stock it is because they intend to profit from the rise in its price. They are familiar with the mantra: ‘buy low and sell high!’ But there are several other ways of profiting from the ownership of stock shares without having to part with them. In this article, we…

Expect A Core CPI Of 2.4% In 2018

In a low inflation world firms tend to raise prices once a year — typically in the first quarter or the first quarter of their fiscal year. Consequently, over half of the annual increase in the not seasonally adjusted core CPI occurs in the first quarter and doubling the first quarter increase gives an amazingly…

Trump, Trade, T, T, T

“China’s reaction to Mr. Trump’s legitimate defence of the American homeland has been a Great Wall of denial – despite incontrovertible evidence of Beijing’s illicit and protectionist behaviour. Instead, China is attacking American farmers with the threat of retaliatory tariffs in the apparent hope of rattling a key component of the coalition that put Mr….