Monthly Archives: April 2018

Market Talk – Tuesday, April 10

Today’s comments from China president, Xi Jinping that China was willing to open its markets, soon lent equities a helping hand. From a lower core opening, it was not long before all started to move from strength to strength. Shanghai and the Hang Seng reacted most to the speech and saw returns of around 1.75%…

USDJPY – Ready For 108.00?

After having everything but the kitchen sink thrown at it over the past few days USDJPY has managed to withhold the risk aversion flows and trade above the 107.00 level by end of trade today. The never-ending political chaos in Washington DC no longer seems to have much impact on the pair as the friction…

Oil, Economics And Risk

“Davidson” submits: If I understand the US$/$WTI/Economic Expectations/Capital Risk-Reward relationship, Trump’s action against Syria, which is really an action against Russia, Iran, N. Korea, China efforts to attact Democratic ideals, should be reflected in a weaker US$ as capital repatriates to Emerging Markets. Algorithms have connected a belief that strong US$/ weak $WTI signals slowing economic activity….

Understanding Bitcoin’s Real Value

Some time ago, I confessed to CapX readers my unease about pricing cryptocurrencies such as bitcoin. I wasn’t alone in my hesitation: New York University finance professor Aswath Damodaran has voiced skepticism that assets with no cash flows can be valued, in the financial sense of estimating what the future payoffs from holding the asset are worth. Not to…

GDPNow Real Final Sales Forecast Slips To 0.9%

If you thought today’s inventory build numbers would add to GDP estimates, you thought wrong. The Atlanta Fed GDPNow Forecast slipped to 2.0% today following recent economic reports. GDPNow Latest forecast: 2.0 Percent – April 10, 2018 The GDPNow model estimate for real GDP growth (seasonally adjusted annual rate) in the first quarter of 2018 is 2.0…