Monthly Archives: April 2018

US Job Growth Slows In March, But Annual Pace Holds Steady

Companies in the US hired substantially fewer workers in March than economists expected, according to this morning’s monthly update from the Labor Department. But the sharp deceleration in growth looks like monthly noise, based on the steady moderate pace for the year-over-year increase in private employment. US firms added 102,000 employees last month – below Econoday.com’s consensus…

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The civilian labor force in the U.S. expanded by 806,000 in February and 518,000 in January; both monthly expansions were very steep. The civilian labor force participation rate increased by 0.3 percentage points in February, though it was little changed over the year The following chart illustrates that the U.S. labor force participation rate has…

March Jobs Report: 103K New Jobs, Disappoints Forecast

This morning’s employment report for March showed a 103K increase in total nonfarm payrolls, which was worse than forecasts. The unemployment rate remained at 4.1%. The Investing.com consensus was for 193K new jobs and the unemployment rate to drop to 4.0%. Here is an excerpt from the Employment Situation Summary released this morning by the Bureau of Labor Statistics:…

Trade Trumps Jobs

Trade and equity market volatility, which are not completely separate, continue to dominate investors’ interest.  Many had come around to accept that while trade tensions were running high, it was likely to be mostly posturing. This conclusion may have helped lift the S&P 500 around 3% over the past three sessions.   However, early in the Asian…

What To Expect From Central Bankers

As financial markets adjust to a new, higher, level of volatility, it is worth considering what the central banks might be thinking longer term. Many commentators have been blaming geopolitical tensions for the recent fall in stocks, but the central banks, led by the Fed, have been signalling clearly for some while. The sudden change…