Monthly Archives: April 2018

Weak Post-2008 Crisis Economic Recovery Puts Capitalism At Risk

There Hasn’t Been an Economic Recovery After the 2008 Crisis: Now Capitalism Itself Is at Risk There are signs the so-called economic recovery is heading for a re-evaluation of its ambitious pretense. At first glance, the stock market suggests otherwise—you might, with reason, be wondering which of the newly legalized herbal treats I have been inhaling….

Silver Finally Starts To Catch Up With Gold

Something strange has been happening in precious metals lately. Gold has been doing a lot better than silver, even as the paper market internals have increasingly predicted the opposite. The result is a gold/silver ratio that’s near the top of its historic range: In the paper markets (where futures contracts are traded) the imbalance is…

Stocks Rally Despite Chinese Trade Action

China Issues $50 Billion In Tariffs & Stocks Rally?!? The stock market had a terrible morning because China announced $50 billion in tariffs per year which effect 106 U.S. products including soybeans, whiskey, cars, and chemicals. This 25% tariff comes on the heels of Trump’s list of Chinese imports which he wants to target to…

USDCHF – Walking It Way To .9700?

After bottoming out at .9200 in mid-February the Swissie has declined by 500 pips against the buck — a stealth rally that has been hardly noticed. Although the franc remains the beneficiary of risk aversion flows, the move into the pair is becoming less frequent as the world adjusts to Trumps mad-dog tweets and realizes…

T2108 Creates The Great Bullish Divergence

While I dipped my toes to the short side during the month of March, I didn’t nearly capitalize as much as I could have that month.  That is because of this T2108 chart, which measures the percentage of stocks trading above their 40-day moving average.  Despite to successive months of selling, the T2108 shows that 50% of…

Trade Deficit Widens, Once Again More Than Consensus

It’s a never-ending trade deficit story. And the pace is accelerating. The U.S. Census Bureau announced today that the goods and services trade deficit was $57.6 billion in February, up $0.9 billion from $56.7 billion in January. The bureau revised January slightly wider, from $56.6 billion as originally reported. Exports, Imports, and Balance February exports were $204.4…

Real Estate’s Main Weakness

Right now, Millennials are the largest cohort of homebuyers in America. And even though they’re waiting longer to get married, start a family, and buy a home… and they’re more likely to skip buying a starter home and opt for a larger property… They have almost ZERO interest in the massive McMansions the Baby Boomers…