Monthly Archives: April 2018

March 2018 ADP Job Growth Is 241,000

ADP reported non-farm private jobs growth at 241,000. Analyst Opinion of ADP Employment Situation This month the rate of ADPs private employment year-over-year growth remained in the tight range seen over the last year. ADP employment has not been a good predictor of BLS non-farm private job growth. The market expected from Bloomberg / Econoday…

GBP/USD Headed For 1.42?

  GBP/USD will be on the move with U.K. composite and service sector PMI numbers scheduled for release on Thursday. So far we know that manufacturing activity remained stable but construction activity contracted in the month of March. Higher highs and higher lows over the past 4 trading days suggests that GBP/USD wants to rally…

General Commodity Breakdown

What a reversal today, eh? Jeeeeeeeeez. Anyway, just a glance at a couple of big commodity-focused funds, showing how the world of commodities (which everyone seems bullish about, since it’s an “inflation trade”, straight from the early 1970s) is going south.  

Market Valuation, Inflation And Treasury Yields: Clues From The P

Our monthly market valuation updates have long had the same conclusion: US stock indexes are significantly overvalued, which suggests cautious expectations on investment returns. In a “normal” market environment — one with conventional business cycles, Federal Reserve policy, interest rates and inflation — current valuation levels would be a serious concern. But these are different times. The…