Monthly Archives: April 2018

E

Anyone anticipating a rate hike in Canada this year will have to explain away the slowdown in last quarter of 2017 and now the January 2018 contraction in GDP. Statistics Canada’s monthly data reveals an economy in some distress, as major components either contracted or weakened resulting in a 0.1 per cent decline in total…

S&P 500 Index Over-Extended On A Fibonacci Basis

The following monthly chart of the S&P 500 Index (SPX) simply shows the monthly closes from its inception. January’s (2018) close of 2823.81 nearly tagged its long-term 140% trend-based Fibonacci extension level of 2836. As of 2:03 pm ET today (Monday), its price is currently below its 1.27% Fibonacci extension level of 2625. Failure to recapture and hold 2625 could see price eventually decline further to 2220 (its 1% Fib extension level), or…

What Is A Bear Market. How Should You Trade Or Invest In One

There are 2 ways to define a “bear market” vs a “bull market”. A state of mind (investors’ psychology) A quantitative method. In terms of investor psychology, a bear market is “prolonged period of falling market prices in which the downwards decline becomes a self-fulfilling prophecy”. This means that there is widespread pessimism among investors…

Joke’s On You, Elon

Tesla (TSLA ) was down 6% on Monday morning after the market decided that CEO Elon Musk’s April Fool’s tweet about the company going bankrupt wasn’t actually that funny. Factoring into today’s move lower is the company’s announcement that they recalled 123,000 of the popular Model S, due to an issue with power steering. As…

Construction Spending Unexpectedly Weak: Home Repairs Collapse

Economists expected a jump of 0.5% in construction spending. Instead, spending came in at 0.1%. The Census Bureau’s Monthly Construction Spending Reportshows February spending rose 0.1%, well under the Econoday 0.5% consensus. Total Construction: Construction spending during February 2018 was estimated at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of $1,273.1 billion, 0.1 percent (±1.2 percent)* above the revised…

E

A tool that we use to help confirm the overall market trend is the Bullish Percent Index (BPI). The Bullish Index is a popular market “breadth” indicator used to gauge the internal strength/weakness of the market. Like many of the technical market internal indicators, it is used both to confirm a move in the market…