Monthly Archives: April 2018

Triffin Warned Us

Trade negotiations and threatening global tariff volleys are contributing to significant volatility in the financial markets. Although applicable in many ways, the Smoot-Hawley protectionist act of 1930 is unfairly emphasized as the primary point of reference for understanding current events. In 1944, an historic agreement was forged amongst global leaders that would shape worldwide commerce…

Bull Of The Day: Micron (MU)

Micron (MU – Free Report) delivered another exceptional quarter of record revenue and profits on March 22 and analysts responded with further boosts to their estimates for coming quarters. The upward EPS estimate revisions weren’t especially dramatic in the past few weeks, with the current fiscal year (ending August) only rising 3.4% from $10.63 to $10.99. But that’s…

The Bullish And Bearish Case For Oil

Oil prices could rise due to the “perfect storm of stagnant supply, geopolitical risk, and a harsh winter,” according to an April 12 note from Barclays.  Geopolitical events specifically could help keep Brent above $70 through April and May, which comes on the back of a substantial decline in oil inventories.  The investment bank significantly…

Investment Strategy: The Investor’s Creed, Revisited

Fascinating, aren’t they, these security markets of ours, with their unpredictability, promise, and unscripted daily drama. But individual investors themselves are even more interesting. We’ve become the product of a media driven culture that must have reasons, predictability, blame, scapegoats, and even that “four-letter” word, certainty. We are becoming a culture of speculators, where hindsight…

Trending Chart: HODL Chart

For those of you who like pretty charts, here’s one that’s trending in the crypto-world right now. They call it the HODL chart. The more red colors indicate more active coins whereas the bluer colors indicate coins that haven’t budged in a few years. We’ll need to assume that many of the more blue coins are ones that may…

Lock Them Up

Venezuelan military rule of the state runs oil company PDVSA took an ugly turn after the Venezuelan military arrested two Chevron workers for what they say is graft and corruption. This comes as the American Petroleum Institute (API) reports a trifecta of draws in petroleum supply, and Morgan Stanly warning that U.S. refiners have had…