Monthly Archives: April 2018

Earnings Season Weighs On Markets

Asian markets were trading mixed to start the week as traders eyed U.S. earnings season which is set to begin in earnest this week. Thomson Reuters predicts S&P profits to have risen by 18.6 percent in Q1 2018 as compared to Q1 2017, the biggest increase in seven years. Profit-taking in advance of the earnings…

Sentiment Snapshot: Bonds, Stocks, And Macro

The latest results from the weekly surveys on Twitter showed a slight rebound in technicals sentiment, with the all important fundamentals sentiment still holding up well – at least for equities.  This lines up with our optimistic view on the fundamentals and the data pulse which for now is still holding up well.  In contrast to equities, bond…

If GDP Growth Is 3% Over The Next Ten Years, The Income Tax Reven

This past week the Congressional Budget Office (CBO) released their budget projections for FY 2018 through FY 2028. The budget projections include a host of assumptions on things like GDP growth, potential GDP growth, interest rates, employment, revenues, and expenditures, to name a few. Within the CBO information lies an assumption on a number that can, at times,…

While China Picks Winners, Trump Picks Losers

“It’s nonsense that there’s a beautiful free market in the power industry,” Energy Secretary Rick Perry said last week as he pushed for a government bailout of coal-fired power plants. Republicans who for years have voted against subsidies for solar and wind power – arguing that the “free market” should decide our energy future –…

Juniors Are Close To Breaking Downtrend

A few weeks ago we wrote that it may not be Gold’s time yet but a few recent developments suggest its time could be sooner than we anticipated. Although Gold failed to breakout last week, we should note the positive action in the miners. Over the past seven trading days, the miners have strongly outperformed…

5 Stocks To Watch During This First Peak Week Of Q1 Earnings Seas

Banks unofficially kicked off the first quarter 2018 earnings season on Friday with results from JPMorgan, Wells Fargo and Citigroup. All beat due to a combination of volatile Q1 markets, tax reform, interest rate normalization and robust economic growth, but investors weren’t sure how they felt about those numbers, with those stocks initially rising on…

Indices Getting Overbought N/T – Earnings Season Underway, With A...

If investor/trader reaction last Friday to financials’ 1Q18 results is any indication, we are in for some interesting weeks ahead. First-quarter earnings season began in earnest last week.  For 1Q18, the sell-side expects $35.63 in operating earnings from S&P 500 companies.  Estimates have slightly trended lower since hitting $35.81 on March 8, but have risen…