Monthly Archives: May 2018

Data Still Pointing To Higher Equity Prices

“Davidson” submits: The media and most advisors take every monthly economic release as ‘do-or-die’. Lost in the rush to trade on the most recent information are the routine adjustments to economic reports in later months which make initial interpretations meaningless. Today’s employment numbers were deemed ‘weak’, but as the chart of the Household Survey Employment shows, the…

Macro Changes For Gold And Stocks

Since early 2016 we have been carrying forward a theme illustrating that until the macro trends in place since 2011 change, the situation would be as is, stocks trending up and the precious metals in consolidation/correction. The current trends were kicked off symbolically, and functionally to a degree, by the Fed’s concoction of Operation Twist,…

Investor Sentiment Continues To Be Less Bullish

This week’s Sentiment Survey report from the American Association of Individual Investors continues to show a falling trend in the level of bullishness of individual investors. This week’s bullishness reading was reported at 28.4% and down from 36.9% in the prior week. The current bullishness reading is near the minus 1 standard deviation level and these sentiment…

Jobs +164K, Employment +3K, Nonfarm Wage Growth +0.1%, Unemployme

The BLS reports March jobs as +164K with the unemployment rate falling to 3.9%. Revisions were positive, wages anemic. Initial Reaction Today’s establishment survey shows jobs rose by 164,000. The household survey (Table A) shows employment rose by a mere 3,000. Once again there are wild swings and divergences between the two surveys. The Econoday consensus…