Monthly Archives: May 2018

HH European Economy Not On Trend With

The US and Europe are in significantly different situations in terms of economic growth, inflation, and monetary policy. America’s year over year core PCE is 1.9% as of March and its core CPI is 2.1% as of April. That’s exactly where the Fed wants inflation to be as the target is 2%. This has allowed…

The Missing Link For Gold

Last week we discussed the fundamentals of Gold, which do not appear bullish at the moment. Real rates (and yields) are rising and investment demand for Gold is flat. That in itself is a temporary but big missing link. However, we are referring to the missing link in the context of intermarket analysis. Gold is…

Indian Indices Continue Momentum; Sensex Up Over 200 Points

After opening the day on a positive note, stock markets in India have continued their momentum and are trading in the green. Sectoral indices are trading on a positive note with stocks in the metal sector and banking sector witnessing maximum buying interest. The BSE Sensex is trading up 208 points (up 0.6%) and the NSE Nifty is trading up 58 points (up 0.5%). The BSE…

Outlook For Stocks – Tuesday, May 15

Thoughts S&P 500 dividend yield fell below the 3 month Treasury bill rate for the first time in 10 years. NOT medium-long term bearish for the stock market. Some short term technical weakness in the stock market. Earnings growth will probably peak later this year. Then will become a medium-long term bearish factor for the…

Cisco Systems Enjoys Upside Price Momentum

Every New York stock exchange trading day I’m posting a daily dividend stock or fund review. I’ll share the three chief qualities of just one equity or fund that could be selected for a dividend stock portfolio I’ve named the Safari to Sweet Success. This week the portfolio I’m building (my Safari To Sweet Success…

The US Petroleum Trade Balance

As oil prices start heading up, the usual questions arise regarding the macro implications. One view is that with the revolution in tight oil production, the US will experience less of a negative impact than before. This conclusion relies on a set of assumptions, possibly including the US being substantially less dependent on oil imports….

AUDUSD Daily Analysis – Tuesday, May 15

AUDUSD broke above 0.7560 resistance, suggesting that the downside movement from 0.7813 had completed at 0.7412 already. Further rise is still possible after a corrective consolidation and next target would be at 0.7650 area. Support levels are at 0.7490 and 0.7450, only break below these levels could trigger another downside movement towards 0.7300.

China LEIs Falling “Quite Sharply”, Inflation At A Ma

Tian Yang, Variant Perception’s Head of Research, recently covered their must-read Understanding Leading Economic Indicators report with FS Insider. Yang explains the three major categories that most economic data fall into, how leading economic indicators (LEIs) help identify Understanding Leading Economic Indicators report, why most economic data in the news is lagging and not helpful for investors and,…