Monthly Archives: May 2018

The 3 Stage Housing Bubble Collapse

Most Americans don’t know, but the housing market is heading toward another epic bubble. However, the bubble forming today is much different than the subprime housing meltdown in 2007. Back in 2007, there was an oversupply of homes, whereas today there is a shortage. With more buyers than sellers bidding up prices, the U.S. median…

AUD/USD Weekly Analysis – Friday, May 11

AUD/USD is facing 0.7560 resistance. A breakout of this level would confirm that the downside movement from 0.7813 had completed at 0.7412 already, then next target would be at 0.7700 area. On the downside, as long as 0.7560 resistance holds, the bounce from 0.7412 would possibly be consolidation for the downtrend, and another fall towards…

Four Fed Rate Hikes This Year? Hmm… Maybe

To-date, I have been extremely skeptical of the meme of four rate hikes in 2018. I thought that Thursday’s “weaker than expected” increase in the April consumer price index (CPI) would further confirm my skepticism. Instead, I discovered that the 30-day Fed Fund Futures are pricing in a 47.4% chance of a fourth rate hike in…

It’s A (Low Inflation) Trap!

Mark Carney did his best yesterday to justify the decision of keeping interest rates at 0.5% at the same time that it was promising that the economic momentum will be regained and that interest rates will have to rise soon. Unfortunately, this is not new. Since March 5th, 2009 (more than nine years ago), when interest rates…

Malaysia’s Post-Election Maelstrom: What Happens Next?

Malaysia’s 14th general election resulted in a surprise victory for an opposition coalition for the first time since Malaysia’s independence. In a stunning political comeback, 92-year-old Mahathir Mohamad – the former authoritarian leader – was sworn in as prime minister on Thursday.   As AP reports, the election result is a political earthquake for the Muslim-majority country, sweeping…

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I have been asked recently how my day is structured between, technical analysis, trading, study and personal errands. It took me a long time to find a structured daily routine that works for me, so it is very personal, but my journey may help people cherry pick what may work for you, I thought this…

Sensex Opens Marginally Higher; Asian Paints Rallies On Strong Q4

Asian shares are higher today as Japanese and Hong Kong shares show gains. The Nikkei 225 is up 1% while the Hang Seng is up 1.3%. The Shanghai Composite is trading down by 0.1%. Meanwhile, the Dow Jones industrial average rose sharply on Thursday, posting its sixth straight day of gains, following the release of weaker-than-expected US inflation data. Back home, India share…

The Market Cycles And Fear And Greed

The continuous market cycles that occur produce different psychological effects on those that participate.  For example, at the peak of the investment cycle traders and investors feel sanguine about the returns they’ve realized up to that point in the market cycle. This is usually followed by a sense of dread when they see those returns begin…

5 Niche Tech ETFs Hitting All-Time Highs

After two tumultuous months, the technology sector is once again at the heart of the market rally given a deluge of upbeat earnings results. This is especially true as the ultra-popular Select Sector SPDR Technology ETF (XLK – Free Report) has gained 5.1% in a month versus gains of 2.2% for SPDR S&P 500 (SPY – Free Report) and…