Monthly Archives: May 2018

South America’s Soybean Output Is Stabilizing

Market Analysis The market’s attention has been on S. America’s soybean prospects and trade statements from the capitols of China and the US over the past 8-12 weeks. Reports from the two main soybean producing countries have continued their basic trends with disappointing Argentine harvest reports that has been slowed by recent heavy rains and…

Are Good Times Over For Emerging Market ETFs?

After a banner year, the emerging markets thrived in the first quarter of 2018 too, courtesy of cheap monetary policies, a strong global economy, rising commodity prices, and a weak dollar. The trend seems to be reversing now as the greenback has gained strong momentum, triggering a selling spree in the emerging market currencies. Notably,…

Patience Required For Gold Investors

Over the years I have written extensively about gold and from an intraday speculative perspective there is, of course, always money to be made, whether long or short. But for the longer term investor in gold these are tough times where patience in abundance is required, which is why I have moved to the monthly…

Anatomy Of A Great Trade

So, I’m sitting here agonizing over whether I should sell short the U.S. Treasury bond market (TLT) once again. Thanks to the bombshell Israel announced alleging the existence of a secret Iranian nuclear missile program, oil has rallied by 2%, the U.S. dollar has soared, and stocks have been crushed. The TLT has popped smartly,…

Russell 2000 And S&P Prepare For Breakout

Despite the exit of U.S. from the Iran Deal there was no real damage done to the market. In fact, some indices are well positioned to benefit. Best of these looks to be the Russell 2000. Today’s close left the index right against triangle resistance with a fresh MACD trigger ‘buy’ along with a similar trigger…

What Is The US Bond Market Telling Us?

To date, 2018 has been a particularly rough year for investors in US treasury bonds. After starting the year with a yield near below 2.5%, the benchmark 10-year bond has seen yields surge to a high of nearly 3.05%, corresponding to about a year-to-date drop of about 3% in IEF, the equivalent treasury bond ETF….