Arguably, US stocks are giving off some signs of fatigue. The S&P 500 large cap index (2840.35) is still below its late-January high of 2872.87. The Nasdaq 100 index (7395.49) in the week before was rejected at six-month-old channel resistance; it is 1.6 percent from its all-time high. The Russell 2000 small cap index (1673.37)…
For gold bugs the weekly chart for the December gold contract makes for dismal viewing, and despite the rally for gold intraday last week as seen on the deep lower wick to the candle, this morning’s early price action seems to have picked up the bearish tone once again, with a gap down open as…
WTI Crude Oil The WTI Crude Oil market initially fell during trading on Friday but found enough support near the $68 level to show its proclivity to stay within the consolidation area that we have seen over the last couple of weeks. At this point, I believe that the $67 level will continue to attract…
In trading, all that matters is price. And I tend to look use it to identify patterns that can help investors and traders. We can also use market ratios as a gauge of the stock market’s health. Today, we’ll look at the Invesco S&P 500 Equal Weight ETF RSP vs the S&P 500 Cap Weighted SPY. In…
This chart comes from the weekly survey I run on Twitter, which asks respondents whether they are bullish or bearish on equities and bonds for primarily fundamental vs technical reasoning. There has been an interesting pattern in “fundamentals” sentiment, with the turnaround in bond fundamentals sentiment seeming to presage the reset in equity fundamental sentiment. With a…
The EUR/USD kicked off the new trading week with a downside move and now eyes the 2018 low. Will it bounce or break lower? The Technical Confluences Indicator shows that the pair faces significant support around 1.1508. This is the convergence of the 2018 low, the Pivot Point one-week Support 1, and the Pivot Point one-day Support 3. Below, there…
This week we’ll begin with our monthly and weekly forecasts of the currency pairs worth watching. The first part of our forecast is based upon our research of the past 16 years of Forex prices, which show that the following methodologies have all produced profitable results: Trading the two currencies that are trending the most strongly over the…
Apple achieved the $1 trillion market cap mountain this week and folks were falling all over themselves to write and read stories about how the company achieved this milestone. That’s fine to the extent it gives us an excuse to reflect on one of the most remarkable stories in the history of corporate America, just…
The S&P 500 has gone up 5 weeks in a row, prompting some market watchers to anticipate a short term pullback. Blind speculation is a poor form of investing/trading. It is very common for the S&P 500 to go up 5 weeks in a row. The past 20 historical cases demonstrate that this is…
