Stocks fall hard again! Last week fear of a looming trade war between the U.S. and China grew. I think the fear is overblown but the market's opinion is all that matters. It's important to keep in mind, all things being equal, investors like the status quo and fear change (unless it is a massive tax cut). Having said that, the fact that the market is down substantially this month should come at no surprise considering all of the major political headlines we have seen out of D.C.

Some people, specifically, the strict chart reading market technicians out there, are calling for a big top. Clearly, this has the potential to turn into a big top.  However, it also has the potential to turn into another bullish base that the market will use to rally from. After a big move (Q1 2016-Q1 2018), it is perfectly normal and healthy to see the market pause for a few quarters to digest the rally. Only time will tell if this will be another bullish base or turn into a big ominous top.

Stepping back, the next big important levels to watch are 2018's high (resistance) for the major indices and February's low (support) for the market. I have to expect this sloppy sideways choppy action to continue until either level is broken. Remember, next week is the last week of the month and quarter which usually has a small upward bias. 

A CLOSER LOOK AT WHAT HAPPENED LAST WEEK…

MON-WED ACTION: