The Retirement Investor’s Last Line Of Defense

The one thing a retired person has to do that most of us ignore in our younger years is have a firm plan in place for market corrections.

Most of us do not have the time to recover from a big loss.

And from my perspective, the markets so far in 2015 have been showing all the signs of another rough period in our future:

  • Stocks dropped 1,000 points from their record high and were down 800 points in July alone.
  • The market is riddled with the “topped-out jitters” and has been for months.
  • The bond market is being hit by threats of higher rates, a liquidity crunch and tumbling commodity prices.
  • Oil analysts are split between $35 and $75 a barrel on their short-term projections for crude – a wide spread that's driving the oil markets crazy.
  • Morgan Stanley is telling us cheap oil, which is usually good for the , is actually hurting it. The drop in the number of drilling rigs is starting to add up in the negative column.
  • Add in the chaos in the Middle East, Greece and the EU, as well as China's weakness, and you have a pretty good argument for a bad – or at least uncertain – near term.
  • Remember, uncertainty drives markets down as much as bad news ever has.

    All of these rough spots tell the contrarian in me that it's time to take another look at gold.

    A Tough Time for Gold

    The yellow stone is touted as the “safe harbor” and is supposed to shine during bad times, like an economic crisis, a war, a period of or a drop in the market. But despite the accumulating factors that normally drive gold up, it has been stubbornly sitting at almost $900 an ounce below its high.

    That's a 47% disparity. No one wants it.

    A recent report shows that only 10% of investors are bullish on gold and, according to our sources, investors are short 16 million ounces of gold. The long-term average going back to 1995 is just 3.9 million ounces.

    In my 30 years in the market, I've learned that whenever everyone is as negative and as dead-set against something as they are against gold right now, it is time to take another look.

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