Best Stocks For 2015 – Prospect Capital Could Deliver Total Returns Of 40% Or More

Editor's note: This column is part of our Best Stocks for 2015 ontest. Charles Sizemore's pick for the contest is Prospect Capital Corporation (PSEC).

I have a reputation to redeem. After winning InvestorPlace's Best Stocks contest in 2011, coming within a hair of winning in 2012, and then winning it all in 2013, I'm at the bottom of the heap in 2014. My bet that 2014 would be the year that emerging markets assumed leadership proved to be premature.

This is my bet for 2015: Cash will be king.

I don't expect much from U.S. equities in 2015. It's not that I'm a bear — I'm not — but valuations look stretched, and U.S. stocks are priced to deliver flattish returns over the next 5 to 7 years.

Rather than buy, hold, and pray that this bull market has another good year left in it, I'd prefer to get my returns up front in cold, hard cash.

My pick for InvestorPlace's Best Stocks of 2015 contest is business development company Prospect Capital Corporation (PSEC).

PSEC invests primarily in first-lien and second-lien senior and mezzanine debt and provides financing for leveraged buyouts, acquisitions, recapitalizations, and capital expenditures for growth. PSEC also invests in the higher-risk but potentially much higher-return equity tranches of collateralized loan obligations.

Most of PSEC's individual investments would have to be considered risky given the early stages of the companies involved, but the portfolio is diversified across a wide variety of industries, and management recently announced it was lowering its risk profile by increasing its allocation to first-lien loans.

PSEC caused a ruckus in December by cutting its dividend to 8.333 cents per month from 11.1 cents to bring its dividend more in line with its reduced risk and return profile. But even after the reduction, PSEC sports a dividend yield of nearly 12%.

And the effective yield may end up being higher. In their recent press release, management indicated that additional special dividends are a real possibility over the next 12 months.

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