Is it just me? Last week while on vacation, the markets surged back to all-time highs as the Greek and China problems were solved. Unfortunately, as I left white, sandy beaches and clear ocean waters behind me to return to reality – so did the markets. Either it is purely coincidental or I should head back to Mexico. Personally, I am hoping for the latter.
As I discussed earlier this week (chart updated through Thursday's close):
“While the prices did manage to break out of the downtrend that has contained the market since mid-May, so far that rally has failed to attain new highs. Furthermore, the previous oversold condition that acted as the “fuel” for the recent rally has been exhausted with the markets are now back to an extreme overbought condition. This suggests that there is likely very little upside currently and that investors should consider using this opportunity to engage in prudent portfolio management practices such as taking profits, reducing laggards, and rebalancing allocations.”
That advice has played out well as the markets have continued to deteriorate, along with a vast majority of internal measures. The question is now, and is the subject of this weekend's reading list, is the correction over? Or, is this just the beginning of something bigger?
1) The Thinnest New High In Stock Market History? by Dana Lyons via Dana Lyon's Tumbler
“When we posted yesterday's piece on the stock market's weak internals (If Beauty's On The Inside, This Market Wins The Ugly Contest), we weren't sure if things could get any worse – and by how much – with the major averages still able to hold near 52-week highs. Well, the answers were ‘yes' and ‘a lot'.”
Read Also: What Do 1987, 2003, 2009 And 2015 Have In Common by Chris Ciovacco via Ciovacco Capital
2) Doubling Down On A Summer Correction by Michael Gayed via MarketWatch