The BRIC Countries Are Dead. Who’ll Stand Up Now?

 

BRIC Countries

 

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Less than 15 years ago, the term ‘BRIC'-countries was introduced by Jim O'Neill. It was an acronym for Brazil, Russia, India and China whose economies were expected to overtake by 2050 the countries which were the largest economies in 2000. There was a lot of lobbying going on from other countries to be included as being seen as one of the fastest growing economies definitely had its advantages.

However, if we now look at the current state of the BRIC countries, it's far from certain that the acronym will last much longer. The countries have proven to be not so immune from the problems of the world economy and especially Brazil and Russia can't be seen as prospering economies anymore, China's growth rate is also slowing down and India now seems to be the only BRIC-country which is still appealing.

BRIC Meeting

 

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Let's start with Brazil. It used to be an economic tiger in South America as the country developed and evolved at a much faster pace than its surrounding Spanish-speaking countries. However, the past few years the economic growth rate has stalled and the re-election of Dilma Rousseff as president of Brazil might very well be a good reason to reduce expectations for the future as she can't really be seen as a pro-business president. Brazil's economy is expected to grow by less than half a percent this year (after the GDP actually contracted in the second quarter of this year) and by just over 1.1% next year. Those aren't really the numbers you'd expect from an economic powerhouse.

We can be really brief about Russia. As the country's public finances are entirely depending on oil and gas sales, the recent slump in the oil price will have a devastating effect on the Russian economy and there's zero doubt the country might enter into a prolonged period of recession. It would be the only BRIC-country which will have to deal with the R-word and the situation could be aggravated by the economic sanctions imposed on the country by Western countries which are slowly choking Russia's non-fuel parts of the economy.

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