The economic calendar is normal, but there will be a lot of competing news – Korean talks, China negotiations, and the Trump legal team’s announcement about whether the President will meet with Special Counsel Mueller. And those are just the items we know about. Sometimes there are great themes that do not get the deserved…
The strength in US Dollar (DXY) in the past two months prompts the question: Has the US Dollar resumed the bullish trend? In this video and analysis below, we explain and rank the most likely path in the DXY. We use the $USDPLN (Poland Zloty) to explain the most likable path: Video Player 00:00…
US Equities roared this week with each of the four benchmarks putting in a dazzling performance up over +2.5% on average, performing with immunity from what most students of history would say is more than a hairline fracture. The escalation of hostility on the Golan Heights is troubling as well as the populist win in…
As Israel prepares for the relocation of the US Embassy from Tel Aviv to Jerusalem on Monday, the Tel Aviv 125 Index (TA125) appears to be poised for a rally. Price closed on Friday just above major support of 1325 and is trading in between the 50 and 200 moving averages, as shown on the following daily chart. A break and hold above…
Geopolitical issues will continue to bubble below the surface for the capital markets. The fallout from the re-imposition of US sanctions on Iran has apparently helped lift oil prices in the face of the rising dollar, which often acts as a drag. In the coming days, the US will take the symbolic step of moving its…
Amid the persistent political scandals (including pay-for-play; or influence peddling or any other such embarrassments whether to AT&T or others); it is also an environment of movement to improve regulations; stimulate business; but sort of turn blind-eyes toward persisting systemic concerns. Diversion or not; the President’s ‘drug price’ speech does talk of seriously restructuring an…
I have long said that until an asset class goes through a “failure cycle,” risk-based pricing will be weak toward the assets in question. One asset class that has become popular of late is bank debt. Bank debt is a loan to a corporation that typically has first priority to make claims on the company…
FUNDAMENTAL FORECAST FOR USOIL: BULLISH Talking Points: The ONE Thing: The crude bull train does not appear to be slowing down. Crude oil has been on a historic run to recently tag the 100% Fibonacci expansion, but increasing demand and potential supply shocks favor further strengthening of the energy market. Energy stocks show biggest S&P 500 contribution since 11/2014 and…
There’s never a time where you want to celebrate being correct, because you’ll miss the next move. That being said, it appears the market is supporting the notion that this entire move since February was just a correction. As you can see from the chart below, with the 0.94% move upwards on Thursday, the S&P…
A new short-term uptrend began on May 7, and the PMO index has quickly moved to the top of its range. This is where I usually start to get cautious about any new purchases. I should mention, though, that this new short-term uptrend started in the middle of the range, and that they usually start…
