Author Archives: Darren Marchal

Oil Prices Continue To Rise As The U.S. Exits The Iran Nuclear Ac

Equity investors overlooked President Trump’s withdrawal from the Iran nuclear accord and pushed stocks higher. Energy prices rose with increased tensions, with Brent crude oil prices hitting $77 a barrel. A subdued inflation reading Thursday added confidence that the Fed won’t accelerate interest rate hikes. Weekly Returns S&P 500: 2,728 (+2.4%) FTSE All-World ex-US (VEU):…

US Dollar May Resume Rally On Fed Hearings, External News Flow

FUNDAMENTAL FORECAST FOR THE US DOLLAR: BULLISH US retail sales report unlikely to trigger big shift in US Dollar trend Clarida, Bowman confirmation hearings in focus on Fed-speak docket Key data from the Eurozone and Japan, RBA minutes may help USD The US Dollar probed four-month highs last week but ultimately settled little-changed against an average of its…

Chart Of The Week: PBOC Clumsily Stumbles Into Step 1

A few weeks ago, the PBOC stunned many mainstream observers by reducing the RRR. It cut against the preferred narrative that the central bank was “tightening” in anticipation of an economic and therefore inflationary breakout (labor shortages, don’t you know). It didn’t seem to make sense. From the perspective of globally synchronized growth, it wouldn’t….

Natural Gas Goes Back To Sleep

Well, it appears we cursed natural gas volatility, as after touting the largest daily range since February 21 yesterday we saw the smallest daily range of the year today. Prices traded just below our $2.82 resistance level through the day, seemingly consolidating after yesterday’s large spike. In our Morning Update we explained why we expected a…