Author Archives: Darren Marchal

Suggestions Of Risk In Consumer Credit

Despite last month’s substantial revisions that wiped out most of “residual seasonality” from the seasonally adjusted revolving consumer credit series, it still remains for this year. The Federal Reserve staff eliminated the large swings in credit card use pivoting around the Christmas holiday. Consumers buy up a lot of stuff in advance of it, and…

Small Caps Shine In Dollar’s Rise

As we highlighted in a prior post, when the dollar rallies, companies with domestic exposure tend to outperform their multi-national peers.Since small-cap stocks tend to have little in the way of international exposure, they tend to be a big beneficiary of dollar strength. Look no further than the relative strength chart of the Russell 2000 versus the S&P…

Peculiar Parallel

I noticed the strangest thing – if you look at the S&P 500 and Bitcoin, they are virtually in lockstep. Taking a closer look, just at this year, the correlation seems even tighter still: Why is this? Animal spirits? The public adulation for speculation running in parallel irrespective of asset class? It would seem so. And it would further…

Flip The Iron Condor In Today’s Market

Video length: 00:09:45 Stocks end the day flat as POTUS announces the withdraw of the Iran deal as expected. Historical volatility continues to be greater than implied volatility giving traders an opportunity to flip the iron condor the other way. Watch tonight’s video newsletter update for trading opportunities and an overlooked earnings announcement you’ll want…