Author Archives: Darren Marchal

Beat The Market With Momentum ETFs

Everyone loves a winner and that applies to stocks as well. While the popular finance theory “Random walk” states that the past movement of the price of a stock cannot be used to predict its future movement, history shows that recent past performance can be a pretty good predictor of short-term future performance.  (Read: 3 Biotech…

Gold Touches Two-Week High

Gold prices settled higher yesterday, extending gains from the previous session, on increasing views the pace of rate hikes is likely to be slower than previously expected. The U.S. central bank not only downgraded its economic growth and inflation projections at its latest meeting but also lowered its interest rate trajectory. Fed officials expect the…

Doctor Copper

Wow, look at the big rally in Copper (hourly)… Wow, look at the resistance coming up (monthly)… It’s all in how you want to cherry pick time frames. The monthly chart says it’s all just noise until Copper clears 3 bucks a lb.

Why The Fed Won’t Raise Rates This Year

I spent a few minutes with my friends at Fox 26 Houston yesterday discussing the FOMC’s recent two day meeting and why the Fed will not raise interest rates this year.  As I wrote yesterday, the track record of the Fed’s economic forecasting has been abysmal as shown in the attendant chart of their projections…

The Great Appeasement And The Burden Of Proof

After six years and two months of 0% interest rates with three rounds of quantitative easing (QE) in between, the Federal Reserve chose to finally remove the word “patient” from their official statement. Hawkish at last! Not so fast. I once heard that you should never underestimate the dovishness of Janet Yellen and she delivered on…