Author Archives: Darren Marchal

Chicago Fed Nat’l Activity Index: Nov 2014 Preview

The three-month average of the Chicago Fed National Activity Index (CFNAI) is expected to rebound to a +0.12 reading in the November update that’s scheduled for Monday (Dec. 22), based on The Capital Spectator’s median point forecast for several econometric estimates. The projection is moderately above the -0.01 reading for October, which reflected a fractionally…

RLJ Lodging Trust – Chart Of The Day

RLJ Lodging Trust (NYSE:RLJ) is the Barchart Chart of the Day. The Hotel REIT has a Trend Spotter buy signal, a Weighted Alpha of 39.73+, gained 37.99% in the last year and paid a 3.56% dividend. The Chart of the Day is RLJ Lodging Trust (RLJ). I found the hotel REIT by sorting the RLJ Lodging Trust list for…

Investment And Interest Rates

In a recent post, I noted that actual non-residential fixed capital investment doesn’t show the pattern one would expect based on optimizing models at all. Ugh that sentence was convoluted and so is the post it describes. In fact, the puzzling pattern is really very simple. Non residential fixed capital investment (nrfinv) is high when interest…

EC The Various

You have to wonder why anyone would want to launch a domestic long/short equity fund these days. The S&P 500 Index has climbed 15 percent in the last 12 months. Buying a low-cost index tracker like the SPDR S&P 500 ETF(NYSE Arca: SPY) or the iShares Core S&P 500 ETF (NYSE Arca: IVV) seems like a no-brainer. Despite…

The Bitcoin Revolution Begins

As we approach the year’s end, I want to look at an important trend that could revolutionize our lives in 2015. I’m talking about Bitcoin (BITCOMP), the groundbreaking digital currency. You see, as it matures and heads toward wider acceptance, Bitcoin will unleash gale force winds on the financial services industry and its regulatory protector,…

Great Graphic: A Look At (Global) Equity Indices

This Great Graphic, from Bloomberg, depicts the performance of three global equity benchmarks indexed to the start of the year.  Click on picture to enlarge The green line is MSCI Emerging Market equity index.  It had been doing well until early September.  It has been crushed since.   The case for emerging markets was predicated on a…