Author Archives: Darren Marchal

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Webster’s dictionary defines allegory as a story in which people, things or happenings have a symbolic or hidden meaning that can be used effectively in teaching or explaining difficult ideas.Accordingly, an allegoric story is used here to explain the important difference between a government income statement and balance sheet, and its application for investment decisions…

Above The 40 – The Stock Market’s Unseen Bullish Breakout Awaitin...

AT40 = 55.8% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs)AT200 = 46.3% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAsVIX = 16.6Short-term Trading Call: neutral Commentary The buyers went right back to work after bears engulfed the end of trading last week.The indices crept higher on the day toward critical resistance at their 50-day moving…

Sensex Trades Flat; IT Stocks Top Losers

After opening the day flat, share markets in India have continued to trade rangebound, and are trading marginally below the dotted line. Sectoral indices are trading on a mixed note with stocks in the capital goods sector and stocks in the IT sector leading the losses. The BSE Sensex is trading down by 11 points (down 0.1%), and the NSE Nifty is trading down by…

Markets Mixed On Early Earnings

Stock markets edged higher on Tuesday as the dollar remained stable as earnings season began in earnest and mixed data out of China brought tempered optimism. China’s economy grew 6.8 percent in Q1 2018 as compared to Q1 2017, reports on Tuesday showed. This positive report was met with less than stellar results in other…

Bull Market Correction Or Bear Market?

In previous blog posts (e.g. hehe) I explained the limitations of sentiment as a market timing tool. Since the public is invariably wrong at price extremes, it certainly can be helpful to track the public’s sentiment and use it as a contrary indicator. However, whereas price extremes always coincide with sentiment extremes, sentiment extremes often don’t…

How Libor’s Surge Will Help Pop The Global Bubble

Four years ago, I wrote a piece for Forbes called “This New Libor ‘Scandal’ Will Cause A Terrifying Financial Crisis,” in which I explained that the “real” Libor scandal wasn’t the Libor rigging scandal, but the fact that that Libor interest rates were simply too low for too long, which was helping to fuel dangerous economic bubbles around…