Author Archives: Darren Marchal

February 2018 Headline Business Sales Declined, Inventories Grew

Econintersect‘s analysis of final business sales data (retail plus wholesale plus manufacturing) shows a slowing in the rate of growth. Inventory levels are very high and do not correlate to times of economic expansion. Analyst Opinion of Business Sales and Inventories Inventories remain elevated this month. Our primary monitoring tool – the 3 month rolling…

Tesla’s Storm Clouds

Just to make sure you don’t miss it,please note there is an open plea for people to test the new site, so please read the post if you didn’t. Over the long haul, there’s no arguing that Tesla has been anything but an incredible stock, having moved up many, many hundreds of percent: Shorter-term, however, things are…

Bullish Setups For The Week Before Us

Trade fears have tapered some, and the US response to the Syria chemical attack has take place, and the market is trading higher today.  Honestly, if you had to pick a time for a missile strike, Friday night would have been the most preferable time for the stock market. You avoid that massive knee-jerk reaction…

GDPNow Forecast Slips Slightly Despite Retail Sales Rebound

Despite a rebound in retail Sales the GDPNow forecast slips to 1.9 percent. Real final sales are 0.9 percent. Those expecting today’s retail sales bounce would drive up GDP estimates thought incorrectly. The GDPNow Forecast dipped slightly today. GDPNow Latest Forecast: 1.9 Percent – April 16, 2018 The GDPNow model estimate for real GDP growth (seasonally adjusted…

Stocks Surge As Yield Curve Crumbles To Fresh 11-Year Flats

Stocks exuberantly rallied on the ‘hype’ that the world is safe again and America’s latest intervention is one-and-done… but bonds ain’t buying it… The curve tested Friday’s highs then crashed back down its flattest levels since Oct 2007… Someone is ‘wrong’ again! As Eric Peters anecdotally summed up over the weekend… “We have this global synchronized…