Author Archives: Darren Marchal

US Dollar Range Continues As Inflation Prints At One-Year Highs

Talking Points: Dollar Down-Trend Pulls Back, EUR/USD to Support After ECB Minutes. US Dollar Grinds at Support as Inflation Prints at One-Year-Highs. Fundamental Forecast for USD: Neutral The US Dollar started the week on a rough note, continuing the bearish move that started to show around last Friday’s Non-Farm Payrolls report. In short order, DXY had fallen back-below the…

Here Are The Biggest Risks Facing Tech

Obviously, regulatory risk has grabbed the spotlight in tech of late. I’ve written so much about this over the past two months I’m having a hard time going back and digging up all of the posts, but here are a couple of notables, with the last one documenting the bloodbath that unfolded in the sector…

What Lies Ahead For France ETFs?

The French economy grew slower than estimated, per the Bank of France, primarily owing to a slowdown in manufacturing activity. The bank’s lower growth estimate for the first quarter is indicative of a somewhat broader slowdown in the Euro zone. European Central Bank (ECB) Executive Board member Benoit Coeure thinks the Euro bloc is witnessing…

Comovement In Economic Policy Uncertainty

Reader Ed Hanson makes a puzzling assertion regarding trade policy measures announced by Mr. Trump, and the evolution of policy uncertainty as measured by Baker, Bloom and Davis: As for the uncertainty, I can not make your author’s calculation but I can look at the front page of the policyuncertainty.com site and look at the headline monthly index they present….

How To Think About Unsustainable Returns

What a difference nine years makes. On March 9, 2009, the market capitalization of Apple, Google (now Alphabet), Amazon, and Microsoft stood at $74 billion, $92 billion, $26 billion, and $135 billion. Their combined market cap: $327 billion. Data Source for all charts/tables herein: YCharts. Nine years later these four companies would grow to become…

Why Be Long Term Bearish On Markets?

In this crucial weekend video newsletter update we go through the case to be bearish and how you can protect your life savings and even profit from another downside move in the market. If you didn’t capitalize on the trading opportunities last week then watch this video right now for the trading opportunities next week.