Author Archives: Darren Marchal

Market Cycles From The Cradle To The Coffin

The Modern Family was seen shopping last week. No, not for new clothes, or fancy vacations. And not for a brand new car or bigger home. Rather, Granddad Russell 2000, Granny Brick and Mortar Retail, Transportation, Sister Semiconductors, Prodigal Son Regional Banks, and Big Brother Biotechnology, decided it was time to prepare for the worst. With…

The Investment Climate

The investment meme of a synchronized global upturn has been undermined by the recent string of US and European economic data. The flash March eurozone composite reading fell to 55.3, the lowest reading since January 2017. Although Q4 17 US GDP may be revised higher (toward 2.8% from 2.5%) mostly due to greater inventory accumulation, the…

Trump’s Trade War Hits Wall Street As Tech Downturn Begins

    President Trump no longer tweets regularly about new record highs for US financial markets. The tweets were a core activity in the first year of his Presidency, when he was still feeling his way into the job. But now, as last week’s sackings of his Secretary of State and National Security Advisor confirm, his focus has returned to the promises made…

The Market Breaks, Has The Bull Market Ended?

  Over the last few weeks, I have been tracking the markets’ ongoing consolidation process. As I noted on Tuesday: “The breakdown on Monday has not yet completely broken the ‘bullish case’ for the market yet, however, a failed rally from current levels will bring “Option 3” into focus. With the recent failure at the previous resistance level, we can…

Facebook’s Faceplant

The signal that Facebook (FB) was in trouble was when it broke down below its previous cycle low. The stock then rallied and last week it figuratively “faceplanted,” losing 13%. FB will continue to face risk through the declining phase of its current market cycle. Running length 00:04:14